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Jul 16, 2020 | Featured Reports

Calm before the storm: Covid-19 and the business insolvency time bomb

The Covid-19 shock will trigger a worldwide wave of business insolvencies.

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Jul 09, 2020 | Featured Reports

Coping with Covid-19 in differing ways

The light and targeted lockdowns to fight the second wave of Covid-19 infections will constrain the pace of recovery. We expect global GDP to contract by -4.7% in 2020, followed by growth of +4.8% in 2021.

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Jul 03, 2020 | China

Chinese banks put to the test of RMB8tn of Covid-19 problematic loans

The ongoing credit easing amid the Covid-19 shock will worsen banks’ asset quality.

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Jul 01, 2020 | Featured Reports

Allianz Global Insurance Report 2020: Skyfall

Global premium income is expected to shrink by -3.8% in 2020.

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Jun 30, 2020 | Featured Reports

Money is power: Can a country's culture increase the risk of payment defaults?

The strength of social hierarchy matters for insured trade credit defaults.

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Jun 09, 2020 | China, Hong Kong, Singapore, Featured Reports

Rough landing: 2020 will be a terrible year for air transportation

Global demand in air transport will not return to its pre-Covid-19 level before 2023.

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Jun 04, 2020 | China, Hong Kong, South Korea, Japan, Singapore, Featured Reports

Managing the curves: Shaping a sustainable Covid-19 recovery

The Covid-19 pandemic represents a historic window of opportunity to accelerate the global transition to a net zero emission society.

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Jun 04, 2020 | China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, India, Featured Reports

Social Risk Index: Structural determinants of social risk

As the Covid-19 pandemic pushes the global economy into the worst recession since WWII, systemic social risk could become a more important factor of political risk and worsen the business climate in some countries.

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May 26, 2020 | China, Hong Kong, Japan, Singapore, Featured Reports

Global trade: Recession confirmed, watch out for a double-whammy blow due to protectionism

Our proprietary Trade Momentum Index shows that Q2 is likely to see an even stronger contraction.

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Apr 23, 2020 | China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, India, Featured Reports, Vietnam, Philippines

Reopening the world: Beware of false starts

Managing the reproduction rate of the virus effectively will mean most economies will function at 70% to 80% of their potential for two-three quarters.

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